5
Made All
5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 94
Sedgefield · Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 178y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Market Rasen | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/5 | 81% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |