Royal Baroness
3yo Filly · 10-9
Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Ayr | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Ayr | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/10/2025 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |