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Steel Raven

3yo Gelding · 11-2

Sedgefield · Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 178y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful 1¼m winner on Flat (stays 11f) who ran really well when second in 11-runner handicap at Ayr (1¼m, soft) 12 days ago, finishing with running left. Likely type for juvenile hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 1309/0644 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f218y Goo 1301/0743 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f5y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS7/0733 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 86 · 1m3f44y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 86 par31/073OR 862 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 85 · 1m5f188y Goo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 85 par22/082OR 852 @ Ayr 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 83 · 1m2f Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 83 par17/092OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Ayr22nd0th+2
2026-08-22York217th15th+2
2026-07-31Goodwood36th5th+1
2026-07-07Pontefract31st0th+1
2026-07-01Thirsk43rd3rd0
2026-06-09Carlisle43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/061/077/0731/0722/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20263rd28/10%82%+0.82
01/07/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16
07/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
31/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
22/08/202617th125/10%0%0.00
17/09/20262nd33/10%90%+0.90