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4

Whitewinewednesday

7yo Mare · 11-10 · OR 95

Sedgefield · Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 188y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't kicked on after a promising start in handicaps but can have her first run for Willie Mullins at Limerick in May overlooked having raced on unfavoured inside and later said to be showing signs of being in season. Tongue strap on for first time and remains one to keep an eye on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 15/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 16115/07C8C0 @ Tramore 18/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m140y Goo 165C8 @ Tramore 18/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m5f80y Goo 15918/09C8C0 @ Bellewstown 05/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 154C8 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15123/08C8BHA93 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 93 · 2m3f Yie 163 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Fairyhouse 11/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 93 · 2m4f Yie 153 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 93 par11/10C8OR 93BHA93 @ Limerick 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 93 · 2m5f Yie 161 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 93 parBHA91 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 91 · 2m5f Goo 159 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 91 par20/0491OR 91projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-28LimerickBHA89−4
2026-04-20TramoreBHA9111th16th−4
2025-10-18LimerickBHA937th12th−4
2025-10-11Fairyhouse?4th8th−3
2025-09-20NavanBHA933rd8th−4
2025-08-23Killarney?9th13th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/075/0711/1020/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength98%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20244th28/10%77%+0.77
18/08/20245th7/163%67%+0.04
18/09/20243rd11/271%85%+0.14
05/07/202513th11/142%8%-0.34
23/08/20259th25/10%47%+0.47
20/09/20253rd50/10%87%+0.87
11/10/20254th10/382%67%-0.16
18/10/20257th12/137%60%+0.23
20/04/202611th14/126%33%+0.07