1

Zamond

10yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 99

Sedgefield · Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 188y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran who resumed winning ways at Cartmel (17.2f) in July and has confirmed himself still in top form on both subsequent outings, finishing third to a couple of stablemates at Bangor (2½m) latest. 10-lb claimer back in the saddle and likely to continue to run well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 30/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 88 · 2m3f188y Gd 158 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 88 par30/095OR 885 @ Sedgefield 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 88 · 2m178y Goo 164 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 88 par5 @ Doncaster 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 95 · 2m3f88y Goo 164 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 95 par28/115OR 955 @ Newcastle 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 93 · 2m190y Goo 165 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 93 par5 @ Cartmel 27/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 95 · 2m1f46y Gd 163 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 95 par27/055OR 954 @ Cartmel 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 94 · 2m1f46y Gd 157 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 94 par5 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 2m1f46y Gd 163 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 94 par20/075OR 945 @ Cartmel 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 100 · 2m1f46y Goo 168 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Bangor-on-Dee 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 100 · 2m3f123y Gd 163 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 100 par8/095OR 100projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Bangor-on-Dee53rd3rd0
2026-08-29Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-07-20Cartmel51st1st0
2026-06-26Cartmel42nd1st+1
2026-05-27Cartmel58th8th0
2025-12-11Newcastle52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0911/1220/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
08/10/20254th10/382%70%-0.12
28/11/20258th12/137%36%-0.00
11/12/20252nd9/153%86%+0.33
27/05/20268th12/137%42%+0.05
26/06/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
20/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
29/08/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19
08/09/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07