Dream Diamond
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110
Sedgefield · Premier Road Markings Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 77y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Worcester | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Fakenham | 2 | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 26/09/2025 | 10th | 9/4 | 88% | 36% | -0.52 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/5 | 81% | 67% | -0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 29% | -0.58 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |