Kinbara Firstdraft
7yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 90
Sedgefield · Premier Road Markings Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 77y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Perth | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 10/02/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |