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2

Red Shea

4yo Gelding · 11-0

Sedgefield · Fairlight Studios Cafe At Sedgefield Racecourse Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m 178y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Crystal Ocean gelding. Half-brother to 4 winners, including useful chaser Annie Angel. Produced a promising first effort when second of 17 at Cork (2¼m, good to soft) in August, albeit no match for the winner. Faces a sharper test here but claims if coping with it.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 2m2f Goo 1653/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Cork?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20262nd25/10%94%+0.94