Blue Nomore
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 77
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-04 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |