That's The Way
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 80
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |