2
Colonel Cooper
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2024 | 1st | 66/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 06/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |