2
Thebeesenvyme
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 39
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Thistledown | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 22/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |