Mobil Mission
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 57
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-12-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |