2
Seeking Freedom
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 49
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |