Spectacular D'oro
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2024 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 04/09/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |