Delightful Cat
8yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 67
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-12-05 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-10-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/02/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/08/2024 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 03/10/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/10/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/11/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 05/12/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/01/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/02/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |