5
Latin Spice
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 73
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |