6
Vladislav
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |