2
Biscuits 'n Gravy
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 76
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |