11
Hold Up Des Ventes
9yo Gelding · 9-8
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |