12
Hollywood Du Bois
9yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Royan-La Palmyre | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 30/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 04/12/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 17/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |