10
Ikuro Jiel
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |