8
Imperial Coglais
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 05/01/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 26/05/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |