13
Jupiter De Play
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |