3
Kaya Dream
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Jean Mary - Monte · 1m 2f 178y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Ecommoy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 01/12/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 25/01/2025 | 16th | 100/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 22/02/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |