7

Nagoya De Lou
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Guericke - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |