12
Narissa De Lou
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Guericke - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 87% | -0.03 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |