6
Nomade Vrie
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Guericke - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |