1
Nouchka Royale
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Guericke - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |