4
Nutty Dream
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Guericke - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |