5
Nino Tosca
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Perros-guirec - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 18
Recent avg: C18.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 18 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 18 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |