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5

Napa Valley Zen

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y

#6

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/04C?6 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 02/076C0 @ Le Mans 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y 013/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 030/07C?5 @ Chartres 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/095projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chartres57th7th0
2026-08-11Cabourg?0
2026-07-30La Capelle?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Le Mans?4th4th0
2026-07-02Lisieux67th7th0
2026-06-11Laval50

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/042/0713/0730/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/202610th66/10%18%+0.18
02/07/20267th80/10%60%+0.60
13/07/20264th22/10%75%+0.75
30/07/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24
11/09/20267th80/10%40%+0.40