7
Nastree Du Vinois
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |