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10

Neige D'ever

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 06/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/05C?5 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12816/055C0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12822/06C?6 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12817/076C0 @ Vincennes 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1288/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-29Enghien?0
2026-07-17Cabourg64th4th0
2026-06-22Caen?3rd3rd0
2026-05-16Caen57th7th0
2026-05-06Graignes?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0516/0522/0617/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
16/05/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
22/06/20263rd18/15%83%+0.78
17/07/20264th10/147%80%+0.33
08/09/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09