12
Nikaly D'eole
3yo Filly · 9-2
Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -32.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |