13
Nokita Du Rib
3yo Filly · 8-11
Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -37.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 85% | -0.07 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |