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9

Noumea Jenilou

3yo Filly · 9-2

Vincennes · Prix Crucis - Monte · 1m 2f 205y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12830/0445 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12816/0553 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1285/063projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Enghien?0
2026-06-05Vincennes32nd2nd0
2026-05-16Caen51st1st0
2026-04-30Vincennes46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0416/055/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -22.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20266th20/10%55%+0.55
16/05/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
05/06/20262nd4/179%89%+0.10