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9

Henfield

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 1m classified race at Lingfield in July. Even better form when second of 9 in handicap there 17 days ago, staying on strongly from too far back. The outside stall isn't ideal but she's still the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 15/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS15/0545 @ Lingfield 21/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f213y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/0946 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m31y GF 126 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m2f Goo 123 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 48 par18/066OR 486 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 46 · 1m1y Std 127 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 46 · 1m1y Std 126 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 46 par13/076OR 466 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 51 · 1m1y Std 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 51 · 1m1y Std 128 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 51 par12/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-18Lingfield64th4th0
2026-07-13Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-06Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-06-18Lingfield68th8th0
2026-05-25Windsor69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0525/0513/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength90%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20255th150/10%43%+0.43
21/06/20258th33/10%0%0.00
05/09/202510th500/10%10%+0.10
25/05/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
18/06/20268th11/142%22%-0.20
06/07/20262nd22/10%89%+0.89
13/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/08/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
12/09/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14