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4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 52

Wolverhampton · Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tends to start slowly but did get off the mark in 1m classified event at Lingfield under Billy Loughnane in July. Hasn't reproduced that level in 2 handicaps but the return of Loughnane to the saddle is a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 55 par4/116OR 556 @ Chelmsford City 26/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 54 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 52 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 52 par18/046OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m1f207y Gd 133 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 53 par9/066OR 536 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 52 · 1m31y GF 132 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 50 par13/076OR 506 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 53 · 1m100y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 53 par16/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley66th6th0
2026-08-16Southwell66th6th0
2026-07-13Lingfield61st1st0
2026-06-29Windsor67th7th0
2026-06-09Brighton610th10th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1111/0513/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength3%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/11/20258th4/179%36%-0.43
26/11/20258th12/137%22%-0.15
18/04/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
11/05/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
09/06/202610th5/174%25%-0.49
29/06/20267th3/184%40%-0.44
13/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
16/08/20266th9/276%58%-0.18
16/09/20266th7/282%44%-0.37