Marveling
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 48
Wolverhampton · Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Southwell | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |