3
Port Noir
9yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 53
Wolverhampton · Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 23/05/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 21% | -0.05 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |