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4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 49

Wolverhampton · Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise when third over C&D in February. Well held on next 2 outings but took a step back in the right direction for new yard when third of 6 at Leicester (1¼m, good to firm) last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Goodwood 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS6/0645 @ Windsor 23/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m31y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Nottingham 15/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m75y Gd 134 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 64 par15/076OR 645 @ Kempton 01/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/12/2025 · OR 62 par6 @ Kempton 07/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f219y Sta 132 · below its mark07/01/2026 · OR 59 par7/016OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 17/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 54 · 1m1f104y Std 131 · beat its mark17/02/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m2f Goo 128 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 53 par7/056OR 536 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 52 · 1m2f GF 132 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Leicester 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 50 · 1m2f GF 130 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 50 par9/086OR 50projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Leicester63rd3rd0
2026-05-23Windsor611th11th0
2026-05-07Windsor68th8th0
2026-02-17Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-01-07Kempton612th12th0
2025-12-01Kempton510th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/061/127/059/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20252nd15/261%88%+0.27
23/06/20253rd11/271%85%+0.14
15/07/20256th9/276%17%-0.60
01/12/202510th40/10%0%0.00
07/01/202612th66/10%0%0.00
17/02/20263rd40/10%71%+0.71
07/05/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
23/05/202611th50/10%29%+0.29
09/08/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13