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2

Currumbin

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Flat/hurdles winner who steadily eased in the weights following a low-key start to the season and back on form when runner-up over 1m at Newmarket and 1¾m at Southwell on his last 2 outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Musselburgh 22/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m7f217y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/07/2025 · OR 69 par22/075OR 695 @ Lingfield 03/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 1m5f Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 68 par4 @ Warwick 23/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS23/0944 @ Fakenham 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m3y Gd 162 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 68 · 1m2f23y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 68 par11/044OR 685 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 67 · 1m3f104y GF 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newmarket 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 65 par31/075OR 655 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 1m GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 62 · 1m6f21y Std 139 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 62 par27/086OR 62projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Southwell62nd2nd0
2026-08-14Newmarket52nd1st+1
2026-07-31Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-07-02Yarmouth54th3rd+1
2026-04-11Yarmouth412th10th+2
2025-10-17Fakenham45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0717/1031/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20256th7/163%0%-0.63
03/09/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
23/09/20256th20/10%29%+0.29
17/10/20255th13/266%20%-0.46
11/04/202612th50/10%8%+0.08
02/07/20264th15/261%0%-0.61
31/07/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
14/08/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
27/08/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14