Sevenkingsmustdie
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 57
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 3 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-26 | Warwick | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |