Barachiel
5yo Gelding · 9-10
Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | 18th | 14th | +4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Taunton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Haydock | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Kempton | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 11/04/2026 | 18th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |