6

Palliser

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Wolverhampton · attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Comfortably held in a pair of 7f outings at Kempton last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 13319/0844 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 13326/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Kempton44th4th0
2026-08-19Kempton46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +12.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
26/08/20264th100/10%50%+0.50