7

Able Astra

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Acclamation filly who failed to improve for a switch to handicap company when fifth of 6 at Leicester (1m, good to firm) in a first-time hood (discarded) 10 weeks ago. Still early days but need to see more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 03/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/1253 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0534 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0646 @ Leicester 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 55 · 1m53y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 55 par22/076OR 55projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Leicester65th5th0
2026-06-14Doncaster49th7th+2
2026-05-09Leicester34th0th+3
2025-12-03Kempton58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/129/0514/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20258th25/10%30%+0.30
09/05/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
14/06/20269th100/10%27%+0.27
22/07/20265th7/163%20%-0.43