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9

Caitlin G

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Came good in 7f Yarmouth classified race last month. Fair fifth in 6f Windsor handicap next time but well beaten back at Yarmouth since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 30/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f21y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS30/0656 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f6y Goo 117 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 45 par26/056OR 456 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 42 · 1m3y Sft 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 42 par6 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 42 · 1m142y Std 125 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 42 par7/076OR 426 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 41 · 7f GF 128 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 41 par6 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 46 · 7f3y GF 129 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 46 par2/086OR 466 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 51 · 6f12y GF 131 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f3y GS 121 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 51 par30/086OR 51projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth611th11th0
2026-08-17Windsor65th5th0
2026-08-02Yarmouth61st1st0
2026-07-22Lingfield64th4th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0610/062/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20259th100/10%0%0.00
02/05/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
26/05/20269th50/10%33%+0.33
10/06/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
07/07/20265th50/10%33%+0.33
22/07/20264th100/10%73%+0.73
02/08/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
17/08/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
30/08/202611th14/126%0%-0.26