Deadline
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |