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8

Golden Mabel

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 7f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made all in a 7f Ffos Las class 6 event last month but didn't get close to backing that up when well held over 6f at Ripon on Saturday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m37y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0445 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m142y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Wolverhampton 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 55 · 1m142y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 55 par18/054OR 554 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 55 · 7f1y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 55 par4 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 60 · 7f1y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 60 par11/074OR 605 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 57 · 1m142y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Haydock 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 54 · 7f212y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 54 par8/085OR 546 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 52 · 7f80y Gd 132 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Ripon 26/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 54 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 54 par26/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Ripon69th9th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las61st1st0
2026-08-08Haydock56th5th+1
2026-07-31Wolverhampton58th7th+1
2026-07-11Chester46th4th+2
2026-05-30Chester48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0430/058/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20268th250/10%0%0.00
05/05/20265th400/10%20%+0.20
18/05/20267th200/10%0%0.00
30/05/20268th250/10%30%+0.30
11/07/20266th200/10%17%+0.17
31/07/20268th150/10%13%+0.13
08/08/20266th50/10%0%0.00
21/08/20261st40/10%100%+1.00
26/09/20269th40/10%20%+0.20